Morning Consult's 2020 Election Guide

A collection of our data and insights related to the 2020 U.S. election

Tracking Voter Trust in Elections

An ongoing survey research project to gauge how voters are responding to unprecedented electoral conditions

Featured Election Insights

Exit Polling: What Drover Voter Decisions

Based one of the country's largest exit polls

The Top Issues Driving This Election

Analysis of nearly 70,000 open-end survey responses collected over the year reveals one main pattern: negative views of Trump

Download: The Effect of the 2020 Election on the Economy in 2021

A new report from Morning Consult's Economist John Leer

Download: The Evolving Role of Companies in a Post-Election World

A deep-dive into Americans' changing expectations around brands’ engagement with politics

2020 U.S. Election Tracker

Morning Consult is conducting over 4,000 daily surveys with likely voters on the presidential election, congressional elections, candidate favorability, and more

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The Latest Coverage

2020 Looks Very Different From 2016, Final Pre-Election Poll Shows

Biden overperforms Clinton’s margins four years ago among key groups

Trump and Biden Look Set to Split the Few Remaining Undecided Voters of 2020

Nationwide, 3% of likely voters are undecided, compared to 11% at this point in 2016

Voters Narrowly Place Blame for Collapse of Stimulus Talks on GOP, Trump

45 percent say Trump and congressional Republicans are at fault for inability to reach deal on COVID-19 aid

Most Voters Who Went Third Party in 2016 Are Backing Biden Over Trump This Year

Joe Biden leads the president by 32 points among likely voters who supported “someone else” in 2016

Key Senate Races Are Tightening as Nov. 3 Approaches

Democrats hold leads in Arizona, Colorado, Michigan and N.C., make gains in Texas, S.C.

Trump’s Efforts to Frame the Democratic Ticket as Far Left Keep Falling on Deaf Ears

Polling in August, September and October finds voters see Joe Biden, Kamala Harris as the more moderate pair

51% of Voters Now Back Barrett’s Confirmation, Most Support Ever for a Trump Supreme Court Nominee

Slim majority, including 32% of Democrats and 44% of independents, supports confirming Amy Coney Barrett

Democrats Preferred to Vote by Mail. But as Election Day Nears, More Say They’ll Head to the Polls

42% of Democrats say they’ll vote in person vs. 30% who said that was their preference earlier this year

FEATURED CHART

Demographic Deep-Dives on the Presidential Election

Biden Has an Advantage Among Unemployed Voters, But How That Impacts the Election Is Complex

Morning Consult Political Intelligence data shows Biden, Trump virtually tied among unemployed white voters

America’s Oldest Voters Have Turned on Trump

Polling shows a net 23-point swing in support for the Democratic nominee since 2016

Biden’s Road to Victory Is Paved by Women

Democratic nominee leads President Trump by 14 points, 54% to 40%, among America’s largest voting bloc

Gen Z Voters Overwhelmingly Back Biden Over Trump

But they make up just 4 percent of likely voters this year

How Race and Educational Attainment Factor Into Biden’s 2020 Lead

Trump’s diminished standing among whites is helping Biden overcome softness with voters of color

Majority Makers: The Races Determining Control of the Senate

Georgia: Democrats Are Counting on a Rising Biden Tide to Lift Ossoff’s Boat

New polling shows Jon Ossoff and Sen. David Perdue locked in a tight race below 50%

Montana: Montanans Like Their Governor. But Do They Want Him as a Senator?

Popular Gov. Steve Bullock is running in a very tight race against Sen. Steve Daines

Colorado: Gardner ‘Flatly Outnumbered’ by Independents as He Seeks Re-Election

Hickenlooper holds 29-point lead over GOP incumbent with unaffiliated voters, who make up more than 40% of the state’s electorate

North Carolina: Tillis’ Struggles With GOP Base Have Cunningham Seeking Votes in ‘Unlikely Places’

The GOP incumbent is currently underperforming Trump by double digits among Republicans

Kansas: Bollier Is Tying Marshall to Trump. He’s OK With That.

Bollier is banking on dissatisfaction with the current GOP to defy history with Democratic bid for Senate

Michigan: James Wants to Look Beyond the ‘Myopic Fixation’ on Trump

Gary Peters’ challenger said he supported the president ‘2,000 percent,’ and Democrats are working to ensure voters don’t forget it.

Iowa: Greenfield Pitches Humble Roots as She Seeks Crossover Support

Iowa Democrat’s personal story hits notes targeting the state’s comparatively wide swath of Obama-Trump voters

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Updating regularly to track how the pandemic is shaping our politics, economy, culture and daily life

The Morning Consult Consumer Confidence Dashboard

Consumers views regarding current and future personal financial conditions and business conditions.

Dr. Anthony Fauci’s Vaccine Guidance Most Likely to Encourage Voters to Get Vaccinated

The nation’s top infectious disease expert trumps CDC, FDA, politicians on voters’ vaccine trust

Is the United States Heading in the Right Direction?

Tracking whether Americans think that things in the country are going in the right direction.

48% of U.S. Adults Now Say They’d Get a COVID-19 Vaccine, a New Low

Since Morning Consult began tracking in late February, vaccine receptivity is down from a high of 72% in early April

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Webinar: The Evolving Role of Companies in a Post-Election World

The 2020 presidential election has significant potential to reshape how corporate America and brands interact with politics. Given this backdrop, join Morning Consult’s Victoria Sakal, Managing Director of Brand Intelligence, for a comprehensive deep dive on the role brands should play as the political environment evolves.